每日原则：若由你负责做决策，要把可信度加权后得出的结论和你自己的想法做比较。

瑞达利欧RayDalio · 公众号 · · 2019-07-11 12:00

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如果二者不一致，你要努力解决分歧。如果可信度加权得出的结论认为你的决策是错的，但你仍要坚持，在行动之前要慎之又慎。很可能你是错的，但即便你是对的，也有可能因为否决了整个程序而失去大家的尊重。你应该尽可能求取共识，就算仍无法达成共识，也要能明确指出分歧究竟在何处，了解出错的风险，并明确向大家解释你这样做的原因和逻辑。如果你做不到这些，或许就要暂时搁置你自己的判断，采纳大家可信度加权的表决结果。

When they’re at odds, you should work hard to resolve the disagreement. If you are about to make a decision that the believability-weighted consensus thinks is wrong, think very carefully before you proceed. It’s likely that you’re wrong, but even if you’re right, there’s a good chance that you’ll lose respect by overruling the process. You should try hard to get in sync, and if you still can’t do that, you should be able to put your ﬁnger on exactly what it is you disagree with, understand the risks of being wrong, and clearly explain your reasons and logic to others. If you can’t do those things, you probably should suspend your own judgment and go with the believability-weighted vote.