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【Advanced in Applied Energy最新综述论文】大规模风力资源评估的准确性和可重复性综述

AEii国际应用能源  · 公众号  ·  · 2024-01-01 18:30

正文

原文信息:

Reviewing accuracy & reproducibility of large-scale wind resource assessments

原文链接:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666792423000379

Highlights

• Comprehensive analysis of 195 large-scale wind potential assessments conducted since 2012.

• Investigation of scientific reproducibility aspects in the existing literature.

• Thorough exploration of common challenges in wind assessment methodologies.

• Proposal of best practices and identification of future research directions.

• Emphasis on the importance of practical research outcomes in real-world scenarios.


摘要

准确量化和评估可用可再生能源资源已成为对政策制定者和工业界具有高度相关性的研究主题。由于对风力资源评估的方法论和实践的当代综述的需求,我们对描述大规模风力评估的195篇文章进行了系统分析。我们的综述显示,尽管非洲和拉丁美洲等地区有电气化需求,但全球和大陆规模的潜力存在显著差异,研究的地理偏向于北半球。一小部分文献试图明确包含风电开发的社会和政治障碍,从而定义了“可行”的潜力。我们深入研究了这一领域的进展,重点关注包含主题专家和利益相关者观点的评估过程中创新方法论。我们的分析强调了数据共享和科学可重复性方面的紧迫挑战,我们的发现显示仅有10%的研究提供了可供下载的公开可用数据。这突显了风力评估可重复性的普遍不足。此外,我们还解决了有关风力数据和气象特征的显著障碍,包括过分依赖单一来源的风力数据和在适当表征时间风力变化方面的不足。我们还发现了涡轮机选址和表征尾流相关损失的方法高度异质性。这些方法通常过于简化,可能导致通过假设过于乐观的容量密度而高估风力潜力。在这些领域中,我们讨论了现代风力资源评估的最新技术,提出最佳实践,并指出未来研究需要重点关注的关键领域。

更多关于"wind resource assessment"的研究请见:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/search?qs=Wind%20resource%20assessment

Abstr act

The accurate quantification and assessment of available renewable energy resources has emerged as a research topic with high relevance to policymakers and industry. Motivated by the need for a contemporary review on the methodologies and practices prevalent in wind resource assessments, we employ a systematic analysis of 195 articles that describe large-scale wind assessments. Our review reveals significant heterogeneity in global and continental-scale potentials and geographical bias of research towards the Northern Hemisphere, despite electrification needs in regions like Africa and Latin America. A fraction of the literature attempts to explicitly include social and political barriers to wind power development, thereby defining ‘feasible’ potentials. We delve into advancements in this domain, focusing on innovative methodologies that encapsulate the viewpoints of subject experts and stakeholders in the assessment process. Our analysis underscores pressing challenges relating to data sharing and scientific reproducibility, with our findings revealing a mere 10 % of studies that offer openly available data for download. This highlights a pervasive insufficiency in the reproducibility of wind assessments. Additionally, we tackle notable hurdles concerning wind data and meteorological characterization, including an over-reliance on single-source wind data and a deficit in adequately characterizing temporal wind variability. Relatedly, we uncover a highly heterogenous approach to turbine siting and characterizing wake-related losses. These methods are frequently simplistic, potentially leading to an overestimation of wind potentials by assuming an overly optimistic capacity density. In each of these domains, we discuss the state of the art for modern wind resource assessments, propose best practices, and pinpoint crucial areas warranting future research.


Keywords

Wind resource assessment
Feasible potentials

Turbine siting

Systematic literature review

Scientific reproducibility

Graphics


Fig.1. Flow diagram representing the methodology used in the systematic literature review according to the PRISMA 2020 guidelines







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