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唧唧堂:JOM 运营管理期刊2021年1月论文摘要6篇

唧唧堂  · 公众号  ·  · 2021-03-09 23:18

正文

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解析作者 | 唧唧堂管理学写作小组: 林迪芬
审校 | 唧唧堂管理学写作小组: Eric.J, 明月奴
编辑 | 悠悠



1、牛鞭效应的实证估计:测量、聚合和影响


尽管牛鞭效应已经在建模论文中得到了很好的研究,但其经验估计仍存在一些挑战。本文利用大型连锁超市的数据集,用不同方法估计产品层面的牛鞭效应,分析其不同度量和聚合的结果,并从库存比率和缺货方面考察其对供应链绩效的影响。我们有三个主要发现。(a)牛鞭效应估计的大小取决于它们是如何测量的。在我们的数据中,材料牛鞭效应比信息牛鞭效应更大,因为需求相关性足够低。(b)按储存和按时间计算的聚合牛鞭效应比低于分解牛鞭效应比,说明聚合牛鞭效应比低估了牛鞭效应。产品的聚合牛鞭效应比低于分解牛鞭效应比,说明由于订单池的存在,牛鞭效应并不像理论预测的那么强。(c)牛鞭效应与较差的供应链绩效相关,可以通过提高库存比率和缺货率来衡量。然而,如果牛鞭效应的测量不准确,这些好处可能被低估高达75%的库存率和25%的缺货率。


Empirical estimation of the bullwhip effect poses several challenges, although the bullwhip effect has been well studied in modeling papers. Using a dataset from a large supermarket chain, we estimate the product level bullwhip effect using various methods, analyze consequences of its different measurements and aggregations, and examine its impact on supply chain performance in terms of inventory ratio and stockouts. We have three major findings. (a) Bullwhip effect estimates exhibit different magnitudes dependent on how they are measured. The material bullwhip effect is greater in magnitude than the information bullwhip effect in our data, where demand correlations are sufficiently low. (b) The aggregated bullwhip effect ratios by store and by time are lower than the disaggregated bullwhip effect ratios, indicating that the aggregated bullwhip effect ratios underestimate the bullwhip effect. The aggregated bullwhip effect ratios by product are lower than the disaggregated bullwhip effect ratios, indicating the bullwhip effect is not as strong as theory predicts due to order pooling. (c) The bullwhip effect is associated with poor supply chain performance, as measured by elevated inventory ratio and stockouts. However, if the bullwhip effect is measured inaccurately, these benefits can be underestimated as much as 75% for inventory and 25% for stockouts.


参考文献:Yao, Y,  Duan, Y,  Huo, J. 2021. On Empirically Estimating Bullwhip Effects: Measurement, Aggregation, and Impact. Journal of Operation Management, 67: 5– 30. https://doi.org/10.1002/joom.1090




2、零售供应链的执行质量和退款处罚


零售商通过向供应商下采购订单(POs)来获取库存。采购订单规定了产品的价格、数量、质量、交货时间等履行过程的其他方面,如纸箱标签要求和包装格式。当为订单提供服务时,供应商可能无法满足履行条款,从而犯下履行错误并触发退款罚款。我们收集了来自111家零售商的供应商合规手册,以描述实践中的履行错误和罚款。零售商列出的大多数退款惩罚都与执行质量有关:除产品价格、数量、质量和交货时间之外的履行过程。我们使用了一个基于经验的分析模型,并结合博弈论分析,证明在实践中最常用的退款方式在协调供应链执行质量方面表现很差。


Retailers procure inventory by placing purchase orders (POs) with suppliers. POs specify product price, quantity, quality, delivery times, and other aspects of the fulfillment process, such as carton labeling requirements and packaging formats. When servicing an order, a supplier may fail to meet the fulfillment terms, thus committing a fulfillment error and triggering a chargeback penalty. We collect supplier compliance manuals from 111 retailers to characterize fulfillment errors and chargebacks in practice. The majority of chargeback penalties listed by retailers pertain to execution quality: aspects of the fulfillment process beyond product price, quantity, quality, and delivery time. We use an empirically grounded analytical model in combination with game‐theoretic analysis to demonstrate that the chargebacks most commonly used in practice do a poor job coordinating supply chains around execution quality.


参考文献:Craig, N,  DeHoratius, N,  Klabjan, D.  2021. Execution Quality and Chargeback Penalties in Retail Supply Chains. Journal of Operation Management, 67: 31– 48. https://doi.org/10.1002/joom.1092


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3、供应链契约中的双边依赖与供应商绩效模糊:来自铁路行业的证据


对供应链关系的研究主要集中在权力和不对称依赖上。我们的目标是通过研究双边依赖背景下的合同挑战来补充这一点。我们具体的经验焦点是世界上最大的铁路之一的印度铁路是如何管理与发动机故障有关的保修索赔。保修解决方案很复杂,因为故障通常涉及不同供应商提供的多个引擎子系统同时发生故障,从而导致供应商性能模糊不清。通过结合植根于交易成本经济学的理论反思和印度铁路供应链的实证分析,我们认为,用奥利弗·威廉姆森的术语来说,在双边依赖的情况下,“良性方法”比“强劲方法”更有效。具体来说,后者是建立在相对强大的一方的单方面决定之上的,而前者是建立在自愿的长期合作之上的,并要求相互可信的承诺和共同解决问题。此外,我们强调,即使依赖一开始是不对称的,但随着时间的推移,它可以发展出双边特性。理论上,我们的研究提供了一个更好的理解买方-供应商的信任关系,强调其组织基础而非个人基础。


Research on supply chain relationships tends to focus on power and asymmetric dependency. Our objective is to complement this by examining contractual challenges in the context of bilateral dependency. Our specific empirical focus is on how Indian Railways, one of the largest railroads in the world, manages warranty claims related to engine failures. Warranty resolution is complex, because failures typically involve the simultaneous failure of several engine subsystems provided by different suppliers, giving rise to supplier performance ambiguity. Through a combination of theoretical reflection rooted in transaction cost economics and an empirical analysis of Indian Railways' supply chain, we argue that in the case of bilateral dependency, “the benign approach” is more efficient than “the muscular approach,” to use Oliver Williamson's terminology. Specifically, while the latter is founded on unilateral decisions by the comparatively more powerful party, the former is based on voluntary long‐term cooperation, and calls for mutual credible commitments and joint problem‐solving. Additionally, we highlight that even if dependency is asymmetric at the outset, it can develop bilateral features over time. Theoretically, our research offers an enhanced understanding of trust in buyer–supplier relationships, emphasizing its organizational as opposed to personal basis.


参考文献:Bhardwaj, A,  Ketokivi, M. 2021. Bilateral Dependency and Supplier Performance Ambiguity in Supply Chain Contracting: Evidence From The Railroad Industry. Journal of Operation Management, 67: 49– 70. https://doi.org/10.1002/joom.1103



4、采购透明度的作用:密封投标A + B拍卖中披露与隐藏的评分规则


我们调查了在密封投标多维(A +B)采购拍卖中使用明确评分规则的影响,这在政府采购中经常使用。智利中央采购局(ChileCompra)要求帮助了解隐瞒评分规则对买家的影响。通过实验,我们分析了透明沟通评分规则对投标结果的影响,当买家明确表达他们对非货币属性(B)的重视时,与对买家隐瞒信息时,比较买家的剩余和供应商的利润。此外,我们还比较了只有在报价提交后评分规则才可见的结果。如果评分规则不被披露,买家的结果就会变差,卖家的利润就会增加。


We investigate the impact of using a clear scoring rule in a sealed bid multi‐dimensional (A+B) procurement auction, as frequently used in government procurement. The central procurement agency in Chile (ChileCompra) asked for help to understand how concealing the scoring rule affected buyers. Using an experiment, we analyze the effect of transparently communicating the scoring rule on bidding outcomes by comparing the buyer's surplus and supplier profits when buyers expressly communicate the weight they place on a nonmonetary (B) attribute, versus when this information is concealed from bidders. In addition, we compare outcomes where the scoring rule is made visible only after the offers are submitted. If the scoring rule is not disclosed, outcomes are poorer for buyers, and sellers see their profits increase.


参考文献:Quiroga, BF,  Moritz, BB,  Guide, VDR. 2021. The Role of Transparency in Procurement: Revealed Versus Concealed Scoring Rules in Sealed Bid A + B Auctions. Journal of Operation Management, 67: 71– 81. https://doi.org/10.1002/joom.1104


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5、产品个性化与企业绩效:来自医药行业的实证分析


近年来制造业和通信技术的进步使得公司能够提供个性化的产品,以满足不同客户的需求。虽然个性化产品会给公司带来好处,但它也需要大量的资源,这使人们质疑该做法的经济效益。这种情况在制药行业尤为突出,因为制药行业的药品是因人而异的。到2022年,这类药物预计将占美国市场药物支出的50%左右;然而,生产和运送这些药物的成本不断上升,使它们的生存能力变得不确定。在本研究中,我们提出了一个概念化产品个性化与财务绩效之间的非线性倒U型关系的框架。我们进一步研究了供应链去中介化在提高个性化效益方面的作用。对制药业数据的分析证实,产品个性化只在一定程度上改善财务绩效,超过一定程度,企业就会遭受负面绩效影响。此外,供应链去中介化缓和了这一关系,随着去中介化水平的增加,倒U形曲线更陡峭。总之,这些发现为管理者制定企业产品个性化策略提供了重要的指导。


参考文献:Ben‐Jebara, M,  Modi, SB. 2021.Product Personalization and Firm Performance: An Empirical Analysis of the Pharmaceutical Industry. Journal of Operation Management, 67: 82– 104. https://doi.org/10.1002/joom.1109


6、复制而不重复:在运营和供应链管理研究中解决复制危机


运营与供应链管理(OSCM)的学者们通常没有就科学复制危机的程度和影响展开强有力的讨论,这可能是因为复制研究在该学科中仍然极为罕见。在本文中,我鼓励更多的复制。然而,我也认为这样的研究将会很少见。因此,我们可以通过更系统地进行理论检验和改进研究,认可研究人员和期刊发表新知识的动机,同时有效地帮助确保这种新知识的基础是可推广的,而不是基于独特、虚假或有问题的发现,从而可以部分解决运作和供应链管理中的复制危机。因此,我关注的是如何在一个更大的理论检验中进行复制,或者以一种能够解释结果的方式精炼研究,即使它们与过去的研究不同。实现这一目标的途径是提高透明度、设计研究以包括对法律效力的检验,并说明结果不会重复的可能性,以及更仔细地考虑控制变量。这种将复制逻辑设计成理论测试和完善研究的投资的回报将是,在进行正常科学的过程中,我们将能够对我们的理论、事实和预测的准确性提出更有力的论断。


Operations and supply chain management (OSCM) scholars have generally not engaged in the robust discourse over the extent and implications of science's replication crisis, perhaps because replication studies remain exceedingly rare in the discipline. In this manuscript, I encourage more replications. However, I also assume that such studies will remain rare. Therefore, it is argued that the replication crisis in OSCM can be partially addressed by conducting theory testing and refining research in a more systematic fashion that acknowledges researchers' and journals' incentives to publish new knowledge, while also efficiently helping to ensure that the foundations of that new knowledge are generalizable and not based on idiosyncratic, spurious, or questionable findings. Hence, I focus on ways to conduct a replication within a larger theory testing or refining study in a manner that makes it possible to explain the results, even if they differ from past research. This is achieved via enhanced transparency, designing research to include tests of nomological validity and account for the possibility that the results will not replicate, and more careful consideration of controls. The payoff from this investment in designing replication logic into theory testing and refining research would be that in the course of conducting normal science, we would be able to make much stronger claims about the veracity of our theories, facts, and predictions.







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