制造业必将“萎缩”
世界各国都非常重视制造业的发展，特别害怕后工业化的到来。但是今天，英国金融时报马丁•沃夫评论一本新书Behind the curve by Robert Z. Lawrence时说，制造业在总就业中的比重必然萎缩。原因有两个。第一，制造业的劳动生产率增长快于服务业。第二，随着人民生活水平的提高，他们会花更多的钱在服务业上，而不是制成品上。原文是这样说的：
Behind the Curve: Can Manufacturing Still Provide Inclusive Growth? by Robert Z Lawrence (Peterson Institute for International Economics)
Lawrence, one of the world’s leading trade economists, demolishes the belief that subsidies or tariffs will restore an economy in which a huge number of unskilled workers, predominantly men, earn good wages from factory jobs. On the contrary, he shows that in richer countries the shares of employment in manufacturing will naturally decline, for two powerful reasons: first, output per worker grows faster in manufacturing than in services; second, people spend more of their income on services than on manufactures as they become richer. These forces are inexorable. Whether or not a country runs a big trade surplus, the share of employment in manufacturing is sure to fall.
世界各国都非常重视制造业的发展，特别害怕后工业化的到来。但是今天，英国金融时报马丁•沃夫评论一本新书Behind the curve by Robert Z. Lawrence时说，制造业在总就业中的比重必然萎缩。原因有两个。第一，制造业的劳动生产率增长快于服务业。第二，随着人民生活水平的提高，他们会花更多的钱在服务业上，而不是制成品上。原文是这样说的：
Behind the Curve: Can Manufacturing Still Provide Inclusive Growth? by Robert Z Lawrence (Peterson Institute for International Economics)
Lawrence, one of the world’s leading trade economists, demolishes the belief that subsidies or tariffs will restore an economy in which a huge number of unskilled workers, predominantly men, earn good wages from factory jobs. On the contrary, he shows that in richer countries the shares of employment in manufacturing will naturally decline, for two powerful reasons: first, output per worker grows faster in manufacturing than in services; second, people spend more of their income on services than on manufactures as they become richer. These forces are inexorable. Whether or not a country runs a big trade surplus, the share of employment in manufacturing is sure to fall.
