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唧唧堂:JFE 金融经济学期刊2020年12月摘要翻译13篇

唧唧堂  · 公众号  ·  · 2021-01-20 22:34

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解析作者 | 唧唧堂经济金融学写作小组: Rachel
审校 | 唧唧堂经济金融学写作小组: 绵绵
编辑 | 悠悠



1、或有可转换资本证券发行与银行脆弱性


将或有可转换证券(CoCos)作为一种“内部纾困”解决方案的承诺一直是学术界分析与争论的主题,但在实践中的效果鲜为人知。我们对银行可转换债券进行了首次全面的实证分析,该市场包括超过730种工具,总计5210亿美元。研究发现:(1)规模较大、资本充足率较高的银行发行可转换债券倾向较高;(2)可转换债券导致发行者CDS价差显著下降,这表明它们将产生风险降低的利益及较低的债务成本(这对可转换为股权、转化条件会被机械触发及被归类为额外一级工具的可转债来说尤其如此);(3)仅具有自由触发机制的可转债对CDS价差无显著影响;(5)除本金减记的触发水平较高的可转债显著提高股价外,可转债发行对股价无显著影响。


The promise of contingent convertible capital securities (CoCos) as a ”bail-in” solution has been the subject of considerable theoretical analysis and debate, but little is known about their effects in practice. We undertake the first comprehensive empirical analysis of bank CoCo issues, a market segment that comprises over 730 instruments totaling $521 billion. Four main findings emerge: (1) the propensity to issue a CoCo is higher for larger and better capitalized banks; (2) CoCo issues result in a statistically significant decline in issuers’ CDS spread, indicating that they generate risk-reduction benefits and lower costs of debt (this is especially true for CoCos that convert into equity, have mechanical triggers, and are classified as Additional Tier 1 instruments); (3) CoCos with only discretionary triggers do not have a significant impact on CDS spreads; and (4) CoCo issues have no statistically significant impact on stock prices, except for principal write-down CoCos with a high trigger level, which have a positive effect.


参考文献:Avdjiev, S., Bogdanova, B., Bolton, P., Jiang, W., Kartasheva, A. (2020). CoCo Issuance and Bank Fragility, 593-613. Journal of Financial Economics.



2、基金的权衡


本文研究活跃共同基金特征之间的权衡。本文发现,规模大、费用率低及周转率高的基金持有的投资组合流动性强。投资组合的流动性不仅取决于投资组合所持资产的流动性,还取决于投资组合的分散性。此外,本文还考虑了其他预测模型的权衡。根据我们对活跃性的新度量,大规模基金更便宜,大规模、低成本的基金活跃度较低 。分散性较好的基金持有资产流动性较差,但规模更大、价格更便宜且交易更多。这些权衡为活跃管理中的规模不经济提供新证据。


We study tradeoffs among active mutual funds’ characteristics. In both our equilibrium model and the data, funds with larger size, lower expense ratio, and higher turnover hold more-liquid portfolios. Portfolio liquidity, a concept introduced here, depends not only on the liquidity of the portfolio’s holdings but also on the portfolio’s diversification. We also confirm other model-predicted tradeoffs. Larger funds are cheaper. Larger and cheaper funds are less active, based on our new measure of activeness. Better-diversified funds hold less-liquid stocks; they are also larger and cheaper, and they trade more. These tradeoffs provide novel evidence of diseconomies of scale in active management.


参考文献:Pastor, L., Stambaugh, R., F., Taylor, L., A. (2020) . Fund Tradeoff, 614-634. Journal of Financial Economics.



3、资产定价:贝塔系数与昼夜的关系


资本资产定价模型(CAPM)整体表现不佳,因为市场风险(beta)与24小时收益的相关性较弱。市场开放与关闭时,股票价格对贝塔系数的敏感性表现不同。一夜之间,股票回报与贝塔正相关,而在交易日,回报与贝塔负相关。这种昼夜关系适用于贝塔系数分类的投资组合、美国与国际上的个股,也适用于行业、账面市值比投资组合、现金流和折现后的贝塔系数分类投资组合。除了收益率相对于贝塔系数的斜率变化之外,隐含的无风险利率在白天与夜晚之间也存在显著差异。与此相一致的是,美国国债期货收益率昼夜差距很大。


The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) performs poorly overall, as market risk (beta) is weakly related to 24-h returns. This is because stock prices behave very differently with respect to their sensitivity to beta when markets are open for trading versus when they are closed. Stock returns are positively related to beta overnight, whereas returns are negatively related to beta during the trading day. These day-night relations hold for beta-sorted portfolios and individual stocks in the US and internationally as well as for industry and book-to-market portfolios and cash flow and discount rate beta-sorted portfolios. In addition to the change in slope of returns with respect to beta, the implied risk-free rate differs significantly between night and day. Consistent with this, returns on US Treasury futures differ significantly between night and day.


参考文献:Hendershott, T., Livdan, D., Rösch, D. (2020). Asset Pricing: A Tale of Night and Day, 635-662. Journal of Financial Economics.


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4、金融中介与资本再配置


为了理解金融中介活动与实体经济之间的关系,本文建立一个一般均衡模型,其中金融部门代理摩擦影响企业间资本再配置效率,并产生总体经济波动。本文提出一种递推策略迭代方法以充分刻画非线性平衡动力学与非稳态危机行为。在本文模型中,对代理摩擦的不利冲击加剧了资本错配,并表现为总水平上全要素生产率的差异。本文模型内生地产生了总时间序列的反周期波动及横截面上资本与资产收益边际产品的反周期离散。


To understand the link between financial intermediation activities and the real economy, we build a general equilibrium model in which agency frictions in the financial sector affect the efficiency of capital reallocation across firms and generate aggregate economic fluctuations. We develop a recursive policy iteration approach to fully characterize the nonlinear equilibrium dynamics and the off-steady-state crisis behavior. In our model, adverse shocks to agency frictions exacerbate capital misallocation and manifest themselves as variations in total factor productivity at the aggregate level. Our model endogenously generates countercyclical volatility in the aggregate time series and countercyclical dispersion in the marginal product of capital and asset returns in the cross-section.


参考文献:Ai, H., Li, K., Yang, F. (2020). Financial Intermediation and Capital Reallocation, 663-686. Journal of Financial Economics.



5、银行净资产与消极货币政策


本文提出一个银行净资产决定贷款市场竞争及货币对公司借款利率传导的模型。该模型中,银行在其附近区域内是借款人的垄断者。当银行拥有充足股本时,它们会扩大放贷规模,争夺处于市场边缘的客户,并将货币政策利率的变化转嫁到贷款利率上。而当它们失去大量股权时,银行进行整合,退出竞争,阻碍货币传导。该模型解释了金融危机后利率传递减弱的原因。它的预测与一些有关银行对企业贷款的事实相符。


I present a model in which bank net worth determines both loan market competition and monetary transmission to firm borrowing rates. In the model, banks are local monopolists for borrowers near them. When they are flush with equity, banks expand their lending, compete for customers at the edges of their markets, and pass through changes in the monetary policy rate to their loan rates. When they lose substantial equity, banks consolidate, retreat from rivalry, and frustrate monetary transmission. The model explains why interest rate pass-through weakens after financial crises. Its predictions are consistent with several facts about bank-to-firm lending.


参考文献:Zentefis, A., K. (2020). Bank Net Worth and Frustrated Monetary Policy. Journal of Financial Economics.



6、流动性冲击的价格效应:美国证券交易委员会的最低报价与交易增量实验研究


上市公司股票价格是否会随交易成本变化而变化?本文利用美国证券交易委员会关于最低报价与交易增量的试点计划,本文增加了约1200只随机选择的股票,并发现相对于对照组,受试点计划影响的小价差股票的股价下降了1.75%至3.2%。交易成本现值增加只占价格下降的一小部分。本文研究了由预期收益变化引起价格变化的渠道:信息风险、投资者视野及流动性风险。证据表明,贸易摩擦会影响资本成本。


Do stock prices of publicly listed companies respond to changes in transaction costs? Using the SEC’s pilot program that increased the tick size for approximately 1,200 randomly chosen stocks, we find a stock price decrease between 1.75% and 3.2% for small spread stocks affected by the larger tick size relative to a control group. We find that the increase in the present value of transaction costs accounts for a small percentage of the price decrease. We study channels of price variation due to changes in expected returns: information risk, investor horizon, and liquidity risk. The evidence suggests that trading frictions affect the cost of capital.


参考文献:Albuquerque, R., Song, S., Yao, C. (2020). The Price Effects of Liquidity Shocks: A Study of the SEC’s Tick Size Experiment. Journal of Financial Economics.


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7、交易商保险、市场结构和流动性


本文建立了一个简约模型来研究旨在减少交易对手风险监管对场外证券市场结构的影响。本文发现,这些规定鼓励交易商进入,促进竞争,降低价差。然而,更激烈的竞争对做市商的盈利能力有间接负面影响。一般均衡效应表明,更多的竞争会扭曲所有经销商事先投资于有效技术的动机,从而减损社会福利。本文结果与有关后危机监管的实证结果一致,也与一些市场参与者对这些监管的反对意见一致。


We develop a parsimonious model to study the effect of regulations aimed at reducing counterparty risk on the structure of over-the-counter securities markets. We find that such regulations promote entry of dealers, thus fostering competition and lowering spreads. Greater competition, however, has an indirect negative effect on market-making profitability. General equilibrium effects imply that more competition can distort incentives of all dealers to invest in efficient technologies ex ante and so can cause a social welfare loss. Our results are consistent with empirical findings on the effects of post-crisis regulations and with the opposition of some market participants to those regulations.


参考文献:Carapella, F., Monnet, C. (2020). Dealers’ Insurance, Market Structure, and Liquidity. Journal of Financial Economics.



8、抵押品约束与资产价格


本文研究在一个由具有非质押劳动收入与异质性偏好及信念的投资者组成的经济体中抵押品约束对资产价格造成的影响。本文发现,抵押品约束推高股票价格,并在价格红利比率与波动性、波动性聚集与杠杆周期中引发峰值与崩溃。它们还会导致利率大幅下降,夏普比率(Sharpe ratio)上升,因为投资者担心经济中的生产危机会冲击到约束因素。此外,股票价格相对于非抵押收入有很大的担保溢价。我们得到了投资者消费份额的封闭式资产价格和平稳分布。


We study the effects of collateral constraints in an economy populated by investors with nonpledgeable labor incomes and heterogeneous preferences and beliefs. We show that these constraints inflate stock prices and generate spikes and crashes in price-dividend ratios and volatilities, clustering of volatilities, and leverage cycles. They also lead to substantial decreases in interest rates and increases in Sharpe ratios when investors are anxious about hitting constraints due to production crises in the economy. Furthermore, stock prices have large collateral premiums over nonpledgeable incomes. We derive asset prices and stationary distributions of the investors’ consumption shares in closed form.


参考文献:Chabakauri, G., Han, B., Y. (2020). Collateral Constraints and Asset Prices. Journal of Financial Economics.



9、少数否决权对控制人薪酬掏空的影响


对受控制公司管控进行管理的一个核心挑战为限制控制人对租金的抽取。由于独立董事及受托责任往往缺乏能力,一些具有司法管辖权的地区赋予小股东对关联方交易的否决权。为评估少数否决权的有效性,本文利用2011年以色列的一项改革——赋予小股东对关联方交易的否决权,作为实验,包括限制控制人及其亲属薪酬。本文发现这一改革限制了控制人-高管薪酬,并使得部分财务总监(控制人亲属)在收到薪酬将被拒绝的暗示时辞职或带很少或没有薪酬离开。以上结果表明,少数否决权可以成为改善公司治理的工具。


A central challenge in the regulation of controlled firms is curbing rent extraction by controllers. As independent directors and fiduciary duties are often insufficient, some jurisdictions give minority shareholders veto rights over related-party transactions. To assess these rights’ effectiveness, we exploit a 2011 Israeli reform that gave minority shareholders veto rights over related-party transactions, including the pay of controllers and their relatives (“controller executives”). We find that the reform curbed controller-executive pay and led some controller executives to resign or go with little or no pay in circumstances suggesting their pay would be rejected. These findings suggest that minority veto rights can be an effective corporate governance tool.


参考文献:Fried, L., M., Kamar, E., Yafeh, Y. (2020). The Effect of Minority Veto Rights on Controller Pay Tunneling. Journal of Financial Economics.


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10、时 变彩票需求:收益公告前的投机行为


投资者持有投机性资产的偏好可能会在公司财报公布前更加明显,原因可能包括库存成本较低、收益即时到位、投资者加强关注等。本文研究表明,在年度财务报告公告前,投资者对彩票类股票需求增加,引致此类股票价格增长。尤其在财务报告公告前5天的窗口期,彩票类股票表现较非彩票类股票高约52个基点。这与彩票类股票通常表现不佳形成鲜明对比。但是在公告后5天的窗口期,这一利差发生反转,彩票类股票表现较非彩票类股票低约80个基点。此外,累计回报率的这种V型反转在零售订单中更不平衡,尤其是在机构持股者所有权较低的公司中以及在赌博倾向较强的地区更显著。这对于12个月的回报率及投资者主义的不同代理变量都是稳健的。


Investor preferences for holding speculative assets are likely to be more pronounced ahead of firms’ earnings announcements, probably because of lower inventory costs and immediate payoffs or because of enhanced investor attention. We show that the demand for lottery-like stocks is stronger ahead of earnings announcements, leading to a price run-up for these stocks. In sharp contrast to the standard underperformance of lottery-like stocks, lottery-like stocks outperform non-lottery stocks by about 52 basis points in the 5-day window ahead of earnings announcements. However, this return spread is reversed by 80 basis points in the 5-day window after the announcements. Moreover, this inverted-V-shaped pattern on cumulative return spreads is more pronounced among firms with a greater retail order imbalance, among firms with low institutional ownership, and in regions with a stronger gambling propensity, and it is also robust after controlling for past 12-month returns and various proxies for investor attention.


参考文献:Liu, B., Wang, H., Yu, J., Zhao, Z. (2020). Time-varying Demand for Lottery: Speculation Ahead of Earnings Announcements. Journal of Financial Economics.



11、关系型融资的说服力


初始投资后,关系型融资人在后续融资前会定期观察项目的中期信息。同时,企业家内生地产生信息,向现有的内部投资者与竞争性的外部投资者发行证券。在这种有不同信息接受者及条件转移的说服博弈中,企业家减少了内部投资人的信息垄断,但通过“信息生产延迟”来阻碍关系形成。内部投资者的信息生产与临时竞争缓解了这种阻碍,并共同解释了竞争与关系借贷之间的实证关系。最优合约通过给予内部投资者可转债及给予外部投资者剩余债券收益来恢复最佳结果。本文结果在各种拓展及其他选择性解释中是稳健的。


After initial investments, relationship financiers routinely observe interim information about projects before continuing financing them. Meanwhile, entrepreneurs produce information endogenously and issue securities to incumbent insider and competitive outsider investors. In such persuasion games with differentially informed receivers and contingent transfers, entrepreneurs’ endogenous experimentation reduces insiders’ information monopoly but impedes relationship formation through an “information production hold-up.” Insiders’ information production and interim competition mitigate this hold-up and jointly explain empirical links between competition and relationship lending. Optimal contracts restore first-best outcomes using convertible securities for insiders and residuals for outsiders. Our findings are robust under various extensions and alternative specifications.


参考文献:Azarmsa, E., Cong, L., W. (2020). Persuasion in Relationship Finance. Journal of Financial Economics.


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12、政策不确定性和企业信贷息差


本文发现政策不确定性与信贷息差变化之间存在显著正相关关系。宏观经济条件(包括一般的不确定性)不能解释这一结果。本文使用工具变量来解决内生性问题。政策不确定性对监管密集型行业、面临高税率或依赖政府支出的企业的影响更大。对于从事政治活动或依赖外部融资的公司来说,政策不确定性的影响也更强。由此,本文得出结论:政策不确定性显著影响企业借贷成本,政府政策敞口是企业借贷成本的一个重要因素。







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