专栏名称: 比尔盖茨
比尔·盖茨(Bill Gates)唯一官方公众号,分享他见过的人、读过的书和学到的功课,内容包括全球健康、能源创新、教育改革和读书笔记等。
目录
相关文章推荐
河北卫视  ·  城市烟火 ... ·  19 小时前  
笔吧评测室  ·  高通骁龙 X2 新系列 PC ... ·  昨天  
河北卫视  ·  中国味·非遗年 ... ·  2 天前  
北京LOOK  ·  1小时直达!宝藏沧州游玩攻略 ·  2 天前  
北京LOOK  ·  1小时直达!宝藏沧州游玩攻略 ·  2 天前  
51好读  ›  专栏  ›  比尔盖茨

清洁工业革命已经到来 | 盖茨笔记

比尔盖茨  · 公众号  ·  · 2024-06-30 09:00

正文

翻开报纸、打开电视或上网,你会发现令人震惊的头条新闻:野火肆虐、风暴肆虐、干旱严重。气候变化就在我们眼前,证据无处不在。除非你知道去哪里寻找,否则很难看到的是,越来越多的证据表明,我们在应对气候变化方面正在取得真正的进展。这就是为什么我对本周在伦敦参加突破能源峰会感到如此兴奋。在这里,这些进展将全面展示,我们将汇聚全球领袖、行业高管、创新者和投资者,共同推动这一进展。


当我们在2015年创立突破能源时,《巴黎协定》刚刚获得通过。地球上几乎每个国家都承诺在应对气候变化的斗争中采取雄心勃勃的减排措施。但很显然,要实现这些目标,需要私营部门进行前所未有的投资,以推动创新。此外,还需要各行各业的通力协作,让清洁能源理念走出实验室,以可接受的价格大规模进入市场。这项工作从第一天起就是突破能源的使命。


2022年的首届突破能源峰会上,我分享了我们支持的前沿概念和公司的最新进展,这些概念和公司致力于解决导致地球大部分温室气体排放的五大挑战——制造业、电力、农业、运输业和建筑业。今年,在伦敦,我们有更多的内容可以分享:一系列气候技术,这些技术不再只是理论上的或有前途的,而是经过验证并已准备好投入市场的。


这正是本次峰会如此重要的原因。在不到十年的时间里,投资已帮助将空想转变为一系列变革性的解决方案。现在,是投资的时候了,这样这些解决方案才能扩大规模、部署在经济的各个领域中并减少排放。


制造业——29%的全球碳排放


制造业——我们制造几乎所有东西的方式——是最难削减的排放源之一。尽管面临复杂的挑战,但取得进展的速度令人难以置信,比我创办突破能源时所希望的还要快,尤其是在水泥和钢铁领域,这两个领域的排放量各占全球总排放量的10%左右。CarbonCure公司首创了一种将废碳注入新拌混凝土(水泥的最终产品)的方法,使这种地球上消耗量第二大的材料变得更加环保。他们在全球800多个地点对现有设施进行改造,防止了近50万吨二氧化碳进入大气。


与此同时,Ecocem的ACT低碳水泥技术最近获准在全欧洲全面投入商业使用,而其另一种低碳混凝土解决方案则被用于即将到来的巴黎夏季奥运会运动员村的建设。此外,Boston Metal已经成功实现了无煤“绿色”钢铁的规模化生产,目前该公司在巴西的工厂已经投入运营。


电力——29%的全球碳排放


大多数专家一致认为,到2050年,全球电力需求将增加两倍。在应对气候变化方面,电气化是解决方案的关键部分。但前提是电力必须是绿色的,否则我们只是将一个排放源换成了另一个排放源。直到最近,我们还没有很好的大规模电力存储方案,这使得我们很难充分利用风能和太阳能等间歇性可再生能源。现在,Form Energy公司经济实惠的电池可以将这些能源储存多日,使其更加可靠。他们在西弗吉尼亚州的工厂即将完工,将为这个最近关闭了锡厂的小镇带来750多个工作岗位。而TS Conductor的先进电力线已经投入商业应用,可以将可传输电量增加一倍,帮助我们最大限度地提高现有电网的效率。


农业——20%的全球碳排放


我们种植和食用的作物对气候有着巨大的影响。但Pivot Bio公司正在利用微生物产品减少这种影响,这些产品可以让作物从空气中汲取氮气,为农民提供他们渴望已久的东西:一种更可靠、更高效的肥料形式。他们的解决方案所产生的排放量不到合成肥料的1%,所需的水量也比合成肥料少1000倍,目前已在500万英亩的土地上使用,帮助农民提高生产率,同时消除排放。Rumin8公司的饲料补充剂在提高生产率的同时,成功地将牲畜的甲烷排放量减少了90%以上,证明了我们可以在不承担高环境成本的情况下享用牛肉和乳制品。他们最近在澳大利亚开设了一家示范工厂,以展示其产品的商业可行性。


运输业——15%的全球碳排放


电动汽车是未来,但其电池是由有限且难以负责任地获取的资源制成的。一个解决方案是回收再利用,而Redwood Materials公司已经找到了一种更好的方法来做到这一点。在他们位于内华达州的工厂中,回收电池中的金属经过精炼,然后重新用于新电池的生产,而排放量比其他回收工艺减少了40%到70%。但是,仅靠回收还不足以满足电动汽车和电气化日益增长的需求。我们需要新的供应——KoBold Metals 公司已经破解了这一难题。他们正在利用AI更可靠地寻找支撑能源转型的矿产和金属,最近在赞比亚发现了铜矿。


长途和重型运输仍有许多技术障碍需要克服,但已经取得了令人瞩目的进展,尤其是在航空和航运领域。例如,ZeroAvia公司正在开发氢电动力飞机发动机,并在英国和美国开展业务,他们的原型发动机在早期试验中已经成功驱动飞机飞行。


建筑业——7%的全球碳排放


确保建筑物冬暖夏凉需要耗费大量能源,其中很大一部分由于单层玻璃窗和漏风的管道而浪费掉了。但现在有新的选择可以帮助解决这些问题。LuxWall开发出了超绝热窗玻璃,其效率如此之高,就像一堵透明的墙。经过多年的研发,他们的窗户已经在密歇根州的首家商业工厂的生产线上下线;安装后,这些窗户将降低成本和排放。还有Aeroseal公司,其创新的聚合物技术可以发现并堵住建筑物围护结构和管道中的漏气点,目前已经投入商业应用。


碳管理


然而,要限制全球变暖,仅仅停止排放温室气体是不够的。我们还需要管理已经排放的温室气体。在阿肯色州,Graphyte公司正在将植物废料转化为碳捕集砖,并将其埋入地下;如果按计划到2025年封存50000吨碳,这将成为世界上最大的碳去除项目。在加利福尼亚州,Heirloom Carbon的全国首个商业化直接空气捕集设施使用40英尺高的石灰石,来像海绵一样吸收空气中的碳。该试点设施每年可清除1000吨碳,并且他们计划快速扩大规模。


这些只是本周聚集在伦敦展示他们解决方案的100多家突破能源支持的公司中的一部分——它们都在应对重大挑战,准备投入工作,并证明清洁工业革命已经到来。(关于我们取得的进展和仍需完成的任务的更多信息,请参阅突破能源的最新《过渡状况报告(The State of Transition Report)》)。


现在,我们需要加大支持力度,增加投资。有了政府和行业领导者的承诺和资金,我们就能部署这些解决方案,并使其形成规模。我们可以降低顽固的绿色溢价,因为这种溢价使许多清洁技术比其肮脏的同类技术更加昂贵(而且过于昂贵,难以广泛采用)。我们可以保持创新管道的畅通。我们就能更接近一个丰富、负担得起的清洁能源未来。


感谢那些聪明的头脑、伟大的想法和大胆的投资,变革性的气候技术已经到来。它就在伦敦。突破能源峰会是自2015年以来形成的势头与市场相遇的地方。我迫不及待地想与这里的每个人讨论我们的下一步行动。我也期待看到在接下来的几天里建立的联系、伙伴关系和投资如何帮助这些气候技术惠及每一个人,并帮助我们实现净零排放。


Open the newspaper, turn on the TV, or go online, and you’ll find alarming headlines about raging wildfires, devastating storms, and severe droughts. Climate change is staring us in the face, and the evidence is everywhere. What's harder to see, unless you know where to look, is growing evidence that we're making real progress in the fight against it. That's why I'm so excited to be in London this week for the Breakthrough Energy Summit. Here, this progress is on full display, and we’re bringing together global leaders, industry executives, innovators, and investors to accelerate it.


When we launched Breakthrough Energy back in 2015, the Paris Agreement had just been adopted. Nearly every country on earth committed to ambitious emissions cuts in the fight against climate change. But it was clear that meeting these goals would require unprecedented investment from the private sector to drive innovation. It would also require extraordinary collaboration across all sectors to get clean energy ideas out of the lab and into the market affordably and at scale. This work has been Breakthrough Energy's mission from day one.


At the first BE Summit in 2022, I shared updates on the cutting-edge concepts and companies we’re supporting that address the five grand challenges—manufacturing, electricity, agriculture, transportation, and buildings—behind most of the planet’s greenhouse gas emissions. This year, in London, we have much more to share: a portfolio of climate technologies that aren't just theoretical or promising anymore, but proven and ready for the market today.


That's what makes this summit so momentous. In less than a decade, investment has helped turn pipe dreams into a pipeline of transformative solutions. Now, it’s time to invest so those solutions can scale up, deploy, and slash emissions in every sector of the economy.


Manufacturing – 29% of global emissions


Manufacturing—how we make almost everything—is one of the hardest sources of emissions to cut. While the challenges here are complex, the pace of progress has been incredible, and faster than what I hoped when I started Breakthrough, especially in cement and steel, which each contribute around 10 percent of all global emissions. CarbonCure has pioneered a way to inject waste carbon into fresh concrete, the end product cement is used for—making the second-most consumed material on earth much greener. Their retrofits of existing facilities, deployed at over 800 locations worldwide, have prevented nearly half a million tons of CO2 from entering the atmosphere.


Meanwhile, Ecocem’s ACT technology for low-carbon cement was recently approved for full commercial use across Europe—while another of its low-carbon concrete solutions was used in construction for the Athletes’ Village at the upcoming Summer Olympics in Paris. And Boston Metal has nailed the production of “green” steel without coal at scale, and now has a facility up and running in Brazil.


Electricity – 29% of global emissions


Most experts agree that the world’s electricity needs will triple by 2050. And when it comes to climate change, electrification is a key part of the solution. But only if the electricity is green; otherwise, we’re just swapping one source of emissions for another. Until recently, we haven’t had good options for storing electricity at scale, which made it hard to get the most out of intermittent renewable energy sources like wind and solar. Now, Form Energy’s affordable batteries can store this energy for multiple days and make it more reliable. Their West Virginia factory, which is nearing completion, is bringing over 750 jobs to a town whose tin mill recently closed. And TS Conductor’s advanced power lines, already commercially deployed, can double the amount of transmittable power and help maximize our current grid’s efficiency.


Agriculture – 20% of global emissions


What we grow and eat has a huge impact on the climate. But Pivot Bio is lessening that impact with microbial products that allow crops to draw nitrogen from the air, giving farmers something they’ve wanted for a long time: a more reliable and efficient form of fertilizer. Their solutions—which produce less than one percent of the emissions of synthetic fertilizers and need 1,000 times less water—are already being used across five million acres of land to help farmers improve productivity while eliminating emissions. And Rumin8, whose feed supplements have successfully reduced livestock methane emissions by over 90 percent while boosting productivity, demonstrates that we can enjoy beef and dairy without the high environmental costs they're typically associated with. They recently opened a demonstration plant in Australia to showcase the commercial viability of their products.


Transportation – 15% of global emissions


Electric vehicles are the future, but their batteries are made of resources that are both limited and difficult to source responsibly. One solution is recycling—and Redwood Materials has figured out a better way to do it. At their facility in Nevada, the metals found in recycled batteries are refined and then reused in new batteries, all while emitting 40 to 70 percent less than other recycling processes. But recycling alone won’t be enough to meet the growing demand for EVs and electrification more broadly. New supplies will be needed—something KoBold Metals has cracked the code on. They’re using AI to more reliably find minerals and metals that will undergird the energy transition, most recently copper in Zambia.


Long-distance and heavy-duty transportation still have significant technical hurdles to overcome, but there’s impressive progress being made, particularly in aviation and shipping. ZeroAvia, for instance, is developing hydrogen-electric aircraft engines with operations in the U.K. and U.S., and their prototype engines are successfully flying aircraft in early trials.


Buildings – 7% of global emissions


Ensuring that buildings are warm in the winter and cool in the summer takes a lot of energy—and much of it gets wasted by single-pane windows and leaky ducts that let heat and AC slip out. But there are new options to help fix these issues. LuxWall has created ultra-insulating window glass that is so efficient, it performs like a wall you can see through. After years of R&D, their windows are rolling off the production line at their first commercial factory in Michigan; once installed, the windows will cut both costs and emissions. Then there’s Aeroseal, whose innovative polymer technology finds and plugs air leaks in a building’s envelope and ducts and is already commercially deployed.





请到「今天看啥」查看全文