罗兰贝格《Better Safe Than Sorry》发布公告

罗兰贝格管理咨询发布《Better Safe Than Sorry》。

In the wake of the US subprime mortgage crisis and the southern European sovereign debt crisis, it is now clearer than ever that risk and cyclicality are inherent attributes of banking. Volatility in the industry, however, is only intensifying: a typical banking crisis cycle can be viewed as having four stages (a positive macroeconomic environment, a substantial growth phase, then a sudden shock, followed by economic downturn) and a number of economies can currently be seen on the brink of entering stage three. This list includes Brazil, Nigeria, the UAE, Indonesia, and Turkey, but Italy is also entering dangerous waters after years of economic stagnation and questionable lending. How can another crisis be averted?

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