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特步國際: 聚焦健康成長

天风国际  · 公众号  · 体育  · 2024-09-13 17:22

主要观点总结

本文介绍了特步国际控股有限公司(Xtep International Holdings)的半年业绩报告。该公司收入稳定增长,净利润增长13%。关键业务指标包括品牌收入、产品收入、毛利率和净利润等方面的表现。此外,公司还介绍了线下门店数量和电商业务增长情况,以及聚焦跑步战略和品牌建设的举措。最后,提供了投资建议和风险提示。

关键观点总结

关键观点1: 公司收入和净利润增长

特步国际控股有限公司24H1收入72亿元,同比增长10.4%;归母净利润7.5亿元,同比增长13%。

关键观点2: 品牌和产品表现

特步主品牌收入稳健增长,专业运动分部(索康尼、邁樂)和时尚分部(蓋世威、帕拉丁)增长强劲。鞋履、服装和配饰等品类均有所增长。

关键观点3: 线下门店稳定,电商增长迅速

线下门店数量基本保持稳定,同时电商业务快速增长,占特步主品牌收入超过30%。直播与社交电商平台发展迅猛,带动线上销售额大幅增长。

关键观点4: 聚焦跑步战略和品牌建设

特步继续巩固跑步生态圈,加强研发能力,推出受到消费者欢迎的新品。索康尼通过代言人签约、产品创新、渠道升级等活动加强品牌推广力度,推动增长。

关键观点5: 投资建议与风险提示

维持盈利预测,维持“买入”评级。风险提示包括市场竞争加剧、新品市场接受度不及预期、终端消费不及预期风险等。


正文

Xtep International Holdings

(1368 HK)


聚焦健康成長


24H1E takeaways: net profit rose 13% on stable mass market and pro sports; watch for a healthy growth profile

BUY (maintain)


投資要點/Investment Thesis

投資要點/Investment Thesis

24H1收入同增10.4%,歸母淨利潤同增13%。 公司發佈半年報,24H1收入72億同增10.4%,主要由主品牌穩健表現與新品牌中國內地的強勁增長帶動;其中特步主品牌57.9億同增6.6%,專業運動分部(索康尼、邁樂)收入5.9億同增72.2%,時尚分部收入(蓋世威、帕拉丁)8.2億同增9.7%,其中中國內地佔時尚分部收入39%,同增85.7%。


收入分品類,鞋履收入44.5億同增14.3%(佔比提升至61.7%),服裝收入26.1億同增4.3%,配飾收入1.5億同增11.8%。


24H1公司歸母淨利潤7.5億同增13%,其中專業運動分部貢獻0.32億;集團擬派發中期股息每股15.6港仙,派息率50%。


24H1E: revenue up 10.4% yoy and net profit up 13% yoy; HK15.6 cents DPS

Top line: Xtep International released unaudited 24H1E results with revenue at RMB7.2bn, up 10.4% yoy, driven mostly by its XTEP core brands and other brands’ growth in the mainland of China market. Segmental revenue perspectives are as follows:


Brand revenues:

•XTEP brands contributed RMB5.79bn in H1E, up 6.6% yoy.

•Athleisure brands (K-Swiss and Palladium) generated RMB820m, up 9.7% yoy; mainland of China grew 85.7% yoy with an athleisure revenue share of 39%.

•Professional sports (Saucony and Merrell) brands shot up 72.2% yoy to RMB590m.


Product revenues:

•Footwear contributed RMB4.45bn in H1E, up 14.3% yoy (61.7% of the total).

•Apparel contributed RMB2.61bn, up 4.3% yoy.

•Accessories contributed RMB150m, up 11.8% yoy.


Bottom line: net profit came to RMB750m in H1E, up 13% yoy, with professional sports brands contributing RMB32m.


DPS: the company set H1 dividend per share at HK15.6 cents, a 50% payout ratio.


24H1毛利率46%同增3pct,淨利率10.4%同增0.2pct

24H1集團整體毛利率46%同增3.1pct,主要系DTC業務貢獻增加。分品牌來看,特步主品牌24H1毛利率43.9%同增0.8pct,主要系電商毛利率及收入佔比均有提升;專業運動分部毛利率56.8%同增14.8pct,主要系期內收購索康尼及邁樂合資公司全部權益;時尚運動分部毛利率53.4%同增11.4pct,主要系DTC模式更多的中國市場貢獻增加,且清庫存需求減少。


24H1集團經營溢利率15.2%同增0.1pct,淨利率10.4%同增0.2pct;各項費率中,主要員工成本佔收入比例提升較多,原因系業務擴張以及收購專業運動分部合資企業帶來的員工開支增長。


Profitability: gross margin up 3ppt yoy to 46%; net margin up 0.2ppt yoy to 10.4%

Gross margin increased 3.1ppt yoy to 46% in 24H1E, mainly due to a bigger contribution from the higher-gross-margin direct-to-consumer (DTC) business. Gross margin performance by brand:

•Professional sports brands: 56.8% gross margin, up 14.8ppt yoy, mainly because the company acquired the entire stake of the Saucony and Merrell JV in H1.

•Athleisure brands: 53.4% gross margin, up 11.4ppt yoy, due to a bigger contribution from the DTC-model China market and less DTC inventory clearance.

•XTEP brands: 43.9% gross margin, up 0.8ppt yoy, mainly because ecommerce expanded in gross margin and revenue share.


Operating margin was 15.2% in 24H1E, up 0.1ppt yoy, and net margin was 10.4%, up 0.2ppt yoy. Looking at expense ratios, key employee costs as a percentage of revenue showed a marked increase, as staff costs rose on business expansion and acquisitions of stakes in Saucony and Merrell JVs.


線下門店數基本保持穩定,新興電商平臺快速增長

線下門店數基本保持穩定,截至24H1末,特步成人在中國內地及海外共有6578家店鋪,較年初淨增7家;特步兒童在中國內地共有1706家店鋪,較年初淨增3家;索康尼在內地共有128家門店,淨增18家。


電商業務24H1同增超20%,佔特步主品牌收入超30%;直播與社交電商平臺發展迅速,抖音、得物及微信視頻號的零售額同增超80%。跑步產品帶動電商增長,618期間集團及特步主品牌的線上銷售額分別同增50%、40%。


Sales network: stable physical store count; growing ecommerce platforms

Retail stores: the company maintained its physical store count:

•XTEP Adults: 6,578 stores around the world at end-24H1, a net increase of 7 from the beginning of the year.

•XTEP Kids: 1,706 stores in mainland of China, a net increase of 3 from the beginning of the year.

•Saucony: 128 stores in mainland of China, a net increase of 18.


Ecommerce sales expanded more than 20% yoy in 24H1E, contributing over 30% of XTEP brand revenue. The growth areas were:

•Livestreaming and ecommerce social media platforms: retail sales via Douyin, Dewu and WeChat video accounts shot up more than 80% yoy.

•Running sports products: this year’s 618 promotions saw total online sales rising 50% yoy, while XTEP brand sales grew 40% yoy.


聚焦跑步,索康尼加強品牌建設

特步主品牌繼續鞏固跑步生態圈,強化研發能力,上半年推出360X等鞋款,消費者反饋良好;索康尼今年通過代言人簽約、產品創新、渠道升級與活動贊助等,多方面加強品牌推廣力度以推動增長,繼續擴充產品矩陣,加快高線城市新形象店開設;邁樂拓寬產品線,繼續強化越野跑與戶外屬性。


Fine-tuning running sports focus: XTEP ecosystem and Saucony brand building

•XTEP brands consolidated the running sports ecosystem and strengthen R&D capabilities. New launches in H1 included the 360X carbon-fiber-plate shoe collection, which had positive feedback from consumers.

Saucony stepped up brand promotions on top of product innovations, channel upgrades and event sponsorships in H1. It also signed on a brand ambassador in July. The brand aims to drive up growth, widen the product matrix and speed up the opening pace of its new-image stores in China’s upper-tier cities.

Merrell expanded its product line with upgraded trail running and outdoor specs.


投資建議/Investment Ideas


維持盈利預測,維持“買入”評級

我們看好公司主品牌以高性價比產品穩居市場領先地位,以及KP剝離後財務端表現有望提升;業務更加精簡,更聚焦跑步賽道。此外索康尼、邁樂有望獲得集團更多優勢資源傾斜,加速成長,兌現品牌力和產品力。


我們預計公司24-26年收入分別爲160億人民幣、179億人民幣、198億人民幣;歸母淨利分別爲12.1億人民幣、14.1億人民幣、16.5億人民幣;對應EPS分別爲0.46人民幣/股、0.53人民幣/股、0.63人民幣/股;對應PE分別爲11/9/7X。


Valuation and risks

We are bullish about XTEP brand prospects and expect the cost-effective products will maintain their market leadership. We expect company financials will improve with the strategic divestiture of KP Global Investment (K-Swiss and Palladium). This would streamline the business toward a running sports focus. We reckon group resources will gravitate toward professional sports brands Saucony and Merrell to accelerate their growth, and maximize brand and product payoff.


Valuation: we forecast revenue will arrive at RMB16bn/17.9bn/19.8bn in 2024/25/26E; and net profit at RMB1.21bn/1.41bn/1.65bn; implying RMB0.46/0.53/0.63 EPS and 11x/9x/7x PE. We maintain our BUY rating.


風險提示: 市場競爭加劇;新品市場接受度不及預期;終端消費不及預期風險等。


Risks include: intensifying competition; weaker-than-expected market acceptance of new products; and lower-than-expected end-market consumption.



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